中国地热能潜力巨大,可以为应对气候变化作出显著贡献。本文提出中国地热能技术发展途径是“四化”,即多元化、规模化、精细化、绿色化;地热能产业发展道路是“三步走”,即近期——中低温利用与高温水热发电、中期——中低温水热发电、远期——干热发电与利用。政府的政策引导与产、学、研、用相结合是实现地热能技术与产业发展目标之关键。
China possesses a high potential of geothermal energy. A suitable roadmap for technology and industry development is required in order to realize the vision making demand on global climate change mitigation. It is proposed that the future of geothermal technology development in China will be characterized by the diversification of sources and utilizations, the scale enlargement of development projects, the refinement of advanced technologies, and sustainability guarantee. The geothermal industry development will be focused on low-medium temperature direct use and high- temperature geothermal power generation in the near future, power generation from low-medium temperature in middle period, and Hot Dry Rock (HDR) energy combined heat and power in the long term. The leading role playing by government, supplementing by the coordination among researchers, educators, producers, and consumers will be the key to successful geothermal technology and industry development in China.